KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 4.86% or above (54%)
Resuelto: 17 sept 2026, 22:02
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 17 sept 2026, 19:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
4.84% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,1 mil €
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
25.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado16 sept 26, 19:30 UTC17 sept 26, 19:30 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
4.86% or above54%
4.88% or above91%
4.9% or above65%
4.92% or above42%
4.98% or above1%
4.84% or above99%
4.94% or above20%
4.96% or above0%
4.76% or above99%
4.78% or above99%
4.8% or above99%
4.82% or above99%
5.04% or above3%
5% or above0%
5.02% or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
54%
20%
17%
13%
9%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.