Next government of the United Kingdom?

Elección Política EuropeOne-OffUS Politics Chess Deportes3a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Reform UK majority 6%

Líder entre 19 opciones

Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,8 mil €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

6.1% / 12.0%

Spread

96.7%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

21 may 26, 14:001 ene 30, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Reform UK majority6%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If Reform UK, with Reform UK holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government.
This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances.
Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description.
Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.
A sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature).

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Reglas

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government.
This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances.
Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description.
Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.
A sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature).

Next government of the United Kingdom?

Elección Política EuropeOne-OffUS Politics Chess Deportes3a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Reform UK majority 6%

Líder entre 19 opciones

Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,8 mil €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

6.1% / 12.0%

Spread

96.7%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

21 may 26, 14:001 ene 30, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Reform UK majority6%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government.
This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances.
Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description.
Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.
A sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature).

Mercados Relacionados

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

0 €

PSD: 52%

POLYMARKET

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

0 €

Independent/Technocrat: 34%

POLYMARKET

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

0 €

Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 81%

POLYMARKET

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

4,2 mil €

Blue and White: 21%

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

0 €

Anthony Albanese: 0%

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

0 €

Aleksandar Vučić: 75%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,503.97+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.50+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.47%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.98%

BNBBNB$570.41+0.87%

Noticias Relacionadas

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Reglas

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government.
This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances.
Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description.
Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.
A sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature).