KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 40.0% (99%)
Resuelto: 16 sept 2026, 17:55
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
40.0% 81.2%+72.0ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
50,5 mil €
Liquidez
39,6 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado15 sept 26, 14:01 UTC16 sept 26, 16:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
40.0%99%
39.8%1%
39.9%11%
Above 40.3%0%
Below 39.7%4%
40.2%9%
39.7%9%
40.3%11%
40.1%13%
81.2%
9%
3.3%
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.