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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

6.0% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyChinaEurope19d
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Between 10% and 19.99%
Between 10% and 19.99% 80%+6.0%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

37,7 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

80.0% / 85.0%

Spread

6.3%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

4 feb 26, 15:001 jul 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Between 10% and 19.99%80%

Reglas

If the general import tariff rate on imports from the European Union into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%

Mercados Relacionados

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,1 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sí: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sí: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%CardanoADA$0.1664+3.72%HyperliquidHYPE$54.74-0.74%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.89%

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Reglas

If the general import tariff rate on imports from the European Union into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.