KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above $1.84 trillion 94%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
595,2 €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
8 sept 26, 13:30 UTC5 feb 27, 18:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiAuto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026
KalshiAre Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsWill the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsFed decision in Sep 2026?
KalshiReglas
If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is the named outcome, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve
- The Underlying is the Student Loans memo item in the Federal Reserve’s Student Loans and Motor Vehicle Loans historical table, reported in millions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted.
- For resolution, the reported value will be converted to trillions of dollars by dividing by 1,000,000.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,5 mil €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US student loan debt at end of 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Above $1.84 trillion al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US student loan debt at end of 2026?
- Está previsto que US student loan debt at end of 2026 se resuelva el 5 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US student loan debt at end of 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is the named outcome, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes.