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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónEuropeChessDeportes6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 10%+1.0%
Calidad del mercado

49 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

3,6 €

Liquidez

101,7 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

9.6% / 9.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

18 oct 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes10%

Reglas

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.