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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?
Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 12%-6.0%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

11,6 €

Liquidez

193,2 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

12.0% / 15.0%

Spread

25.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

24 oct 25, 14:001 ago 26, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes12%

Reglas

If the Supreme Court, in United States v.

Kalshi
  • Hemani, rules that the federal government may continue to bar marijuana users from buying or possessing firearms under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating § 922(g)(3) as applied to marijuana users, and upholds the federal prohibition on firearm possession by an “unlawful user” of a controlled substance, after Issuance and before August 1, 2026

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Reglas

If the Supreme Court, in United States v.

Kalshi
  • Hemani, rules that the federal government may continue to bar marijuana users from buying or possessing firearms under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating § 922(g)(3) as applied to marijuana users, and upholds the federal prohibition on firearm possession by an “unlawful user” of a controlled substance, after Issuance and before August 1, 2026