KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 28 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
At least 28 91%Líder entre 8 opciones
At least 28 91%Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,4 mil €
Interés abierto
3,2 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 28Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
13 nov 26, 15:45 UTC3 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 28
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiSchumer out of senate by 2029?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Senate DemocratsThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on it, as reported by a Source Agency. If the caucus elects Chuck Schumer its leader without a ballot (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent), the count is the number of senators and senators-elect in the Senate Democratic caucus, including independents who caucus with Democrats. A report that Chuck Schumer was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027 and Chuck Schumer is not elected without one. If Chuck Schumer withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chuck Schumer on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 28
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 28 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 24 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 32 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 36
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 36 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 44 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 48 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 52 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
