Who will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Pete Hegseth · —
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Precio guardado
Pete Hegseth 62.5%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pete Hegseth 62.5%Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,7 €
Interés abierto
3,3 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Pete HegsethSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
9 nov 26, 21:00 UTC20 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Pete Hegseth
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWho leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
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PolymarketWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalPoliticoAxiosSemaforABCCBSNBCCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe InformationBBC NewsThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. The first official is the one whose announcement or departure comes first after Issuance. If a single announcement covers both named officials, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of named officials covered by that announcement. Leaving means ceasing to be Secretary of State, for Marco Rubio, or Secretary of Defense, for Pete Hegseth, by resignation, firing, removal or a move to another post; a change in the name of the office is not leaving. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, a temporary leave or recusal, being considered for another position, and impeachment without removal do NOT count. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does NOT count, including a statement that he will not serve in the next administration. No officials will be added to this event. None resolves to Yes if neither named official leaves or announces he will leave his position before Jan 20, 2029. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marco Rubio
- If Marco Rubio is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of State after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- None
- If neither of the two officials named in this event leaves, or announces he will leave, his position after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.