Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Texas 34.5%+2.0ptLíder entre 16 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
49,8 mil €
Liquidez
48,9 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
23 sept 26, 21:00 UTC3 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.8pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1127,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 917,1 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 198,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep61%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-0.1pt8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 18,8 M €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+3.0pt62%
- Ken Paxton-5.0pt38%
- Volumen total
- 12,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,4 mil €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen38.4%
- Édouard Philippe24.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 121 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.4pt92%
- Republican Party-0.5pt8%
- Volumen total
- 32,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 371,5 mil €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Maine Senate winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Texas al 34.5% a fecha de 26 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Está previsto que Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.