Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
11.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Florida 36.5%+11.0ptLíder entre 20 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
139,6 mil €
Liquidez
113,9 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
23 sept 26, 21:00 UTC3 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Election CommissionMassachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections DivisionDelaware Department of ElectionsOregon Secretary of State, Elections DivisionRhode Island Board of ElectionsColorado Secretary of StateIllinois State Board of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsNew Mexico Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNew Jersey Division of ElectionsVirginia Department of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsOhio Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsAlaska Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of State
- A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Trump won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican.
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Florida al 36.5% a fecha de 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Está previsto que Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.