KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
28 or more 76%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
52,5 €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
1 sept 26, 2:00 UTC5 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Kalshi cotiza 28 or more al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Está previsto que Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats? se resuelva el 5 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.