Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección11m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Ed Markey, ≥5% 99%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
33,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
31 ago 26, 17:03 UTC1 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Markey minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- If Ed Markey wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Markey loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)?
- Kalshi cotiza Ed Markey, ≥5% al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)?
- Está previsto que Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) se resuelva el 1 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.