KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 53%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
7 sept 26, 17:53 UTC8 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketReglas
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi cotiza Maura Sullivan, ≥6% al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Está previsto que NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) se resuelva el 8 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.