KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Stephen Lynch, ≥2% 99%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
27 ago 26, 19:24 UTC1 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Stephen Lynch minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Stephen Lynch if Stephen Lynch wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Stephen Lynch loses.
- If Stephen Lynch wins, the margin will be positive; if Stephen Lynch loses, the margin will be negative; if Stephen Lynch ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Stephen Lynch runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- Kalshi cotiza Stephen Lynch, ≥2% al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- Está previsto que MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) se resuelva el 1 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.