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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección11m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%
Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

77,6 €

Liquidez

157,4 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

2 jun 26, 19:003 jun 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Josh Turek, 20-25%1%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

33.1%Cerrados
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek <10%
Turek <10%
+33.1%37%

+3 resultados más

40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total4,5 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Reglas

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.