Este mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Turek 20–30% 99%+0.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.1% / 64.5%
Spread
64400.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+31.4%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
2 jun 26, 16:002 jun 26, 16:00
Tendencias
99%
50%
34%
32%
10%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
También disponible en Kalshi
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
8.0%11m
-8.0%1%
+11.0%99%
-1.0%2%
+5 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total314,6 €
Volumen 24h77,7 €
KALSHIReglas
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
California Governor Election Winner
2 M €Xavier Becerra: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
799,8 mil €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
710,3 mil €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Peru Presidential election winner?
9,5 mil €Roberto Sánchez: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4,1 mil €Karen Bass: 61.5%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.News
Peru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.News%20cryptocurrency%20website%20displayed%20on%20the%20smartphone%20screen.jpg)
Burnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.News
Crypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.News
New Defend Developers PAC targets key races with DeFi on the lineCrypto NewsReglas
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.