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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Shenna Bellows wins
Shenna Bellows wins 20%
Líder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

38,9 €

Liquidez

36 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

19.0% / 20.0%

Spread

5.3%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

10 jun 26, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Shenna Bellows wins20%

Reglas

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.