KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 80%
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
21.0% / 40.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
4 jun 25, 14:00 UTC1 ene 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.