KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Yes, 3-6% 4%-5.3ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
56 mil €
Liquidez
25,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.2 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 108 días
Desactualizado16 mar 26, 21:0021 abr 27, 14:00
Tendencias
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Reglas
If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment falls at least 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Yes minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Yes minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Yes wins, or the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Yes does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
