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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. IA
  3. Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

4.0% (24h)IATecnologíaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Claude
Claude 32%-4.0%
Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

3,4 €

Liquidez

425,6 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

31.0% / 32.0%

Spread

3.2%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

10 feb 26, 1:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Claude32%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

2.5%6m
None in 2026
None in 2026
+2.5%70%
Anthropic
Anthropic
-8.0%22%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.2%5%

+29 resultados más

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total67 mil €
Volumen 24h984,1 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,4 €
Claude: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?

75,4 €
2026: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year

64,8 €
2025: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

34,3 €
OpenAI: 31%KalshiKALSHI

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Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.