KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democrats, 1+ pts 41%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
5 may 26, 20:20 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Democrats, 1+ pts al 41% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory?
- Está previsto que Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.