KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualDemocrats, 1+ pts 0%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
201 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
83.0% / 90.0%
Spread
8.4%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
29 abr 26, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats, 7+ pts66%
Tendencia de volumen
$377 jul3d de datos13 jul
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2,9 mil €Democrats, 76+ pts: 82%KALSHI
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KALSHITennessee's 8th District margin of victory
2,6 mil €Republicans, 25+ pts: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida's 10th District margin of victory
2,5 mil €Democrats, 45+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
406,4 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHINew Hampshire Senate margin of victory
264,6 €Democrats, 4+ pts: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.