KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualDemocrats, 4+ pts 81%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
77.0% / 82.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
5 may 26, 20:203 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats, 10+ pts77%
Tendencia de volumen
$1.6k5 jul4d de datos29 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Texas Senate margin of victory
3,3 mil €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3,2 mil €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1,2 mil €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2 mil €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHINew Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
877,9 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,8 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.