KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 11 sept 2026, 12:41 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Democrats, 3+ pts 17%
Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
29 abr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1099,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.2pt54.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-8.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-3.1pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Fraud+68.0pt99%
- Transgender+62.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+54.0pt99%
+36 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.5pt18%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt4%
+39 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volumen total
- 25,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Florida Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Democrats, 3+ pts al 17% a fecha de 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Florida Governor margin of victory?
- Está previsto que Florida Governor margin of victory se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Florida Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.