KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Exactly 2 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Exactly 2 36%Líder entre 6 opciones
Exactly 2 36%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
21,6 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Exactly 2Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
16 sept 25, 21:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Exactly 2
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsHow many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1
- If exactly 1 governor lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 0
- If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
