How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
4.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 10:36 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
5 or more · —
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Precio guardado
5 or more 55.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
5 or more 55.5%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
896 €
Interés abierto
22,3 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
5 or moreSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado16 sept 25, 21:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · 5 or more
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Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the Senate ParliamentarianNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representativesthe Secretary of the SenateClerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Reglas de cada resultado
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.