Probabilidad implícita actual
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%Líder entre 11 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
11 ago 26, 0:32 UTC22 dic 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Kalshi cotiza Giorgia Meloni al 44% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Está previsto que Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? se resuelva el 22 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.