KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic party 86.6%+63.0ptAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
30,3 mil €
Liquidez
18,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
85.0% / 90.9%
Spread
5.9 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
14 oct 25, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 600,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1094,6 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 181 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 390,2 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de MO-05 House winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Democratic party al 87% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve MO-05 House winner??
- Está previsto que MO-05 House winner? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida MO-05 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.