PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualRepublican Party 75.8%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,6 €
Liquidez
6,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
74.0% / 76.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
28 ene 26, 21:403 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Republican Party75%
Comparar plataformas· Republican party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 75% | 0pt | 8,6 € | 6,4 mil € | hace 22 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 81% | +6pt | 0 € | 2,7 mil € | hace 22 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
MO-02 House winner?
1a
82.7%
17.4%
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total4,4 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$104 jul15d de datos27 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
891,8 mil €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
400,1 mil €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
308,8 mil €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
123 mil €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the U.S. House?
73,5 mil €Republican Party: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
49,7 mil €Perry Johnson: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.