KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least $1 billion · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
At least $1 billion 97.8%Líder entre 9 opciones
At least $1 billion 97.8%Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
179,7 €
Interés abierto
6 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
At least $1 billionSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
21 feb 26, 15:00 UTC1 abr 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least $1 billion
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2031?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If government spending increases by at least $50 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:FRED
- Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $50 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $50 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $200 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $200 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $300 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $300 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $100 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $100 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $400 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $400 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $500 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $500 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $750 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $750 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $1 trillion
- If government spending increases by at least $1000 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
