KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Before Jul 3, 2026 (99%)
Resuelto: 1 jul 2026, 14:52
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Before Jul 3, 2026
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
26%
SorpresaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Jul 3, 2026 99%+74.0ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
537,8 mil €
Liquidez
5,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 100.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 días
Desactualizado13 jun 26, 14:001 jul 26, 3:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before Jul 17, 202676%
Before Jul 1, 20262%
Before Jul 3, 202699%
Before Jul 7, 202699%
Before Jul 10, 202699%
Before Jun 15, 20262%
1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Before Jul 3, 2026
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general90% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 314,3 mil € | 0 € | hace 26 días | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Baja | 99% | — | 537,8 mil € | 5,7 mil € | hace 27 días | |
 Manifold Markets93% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 21 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
When will Anthropic's API customers get access to Fable 5 again?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Before August 1st (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+6 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario72 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by which date?
72.5 ptsCerrados
+72.5pt100%
+11.7pt100%
+4.8pt100%
+16 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total4,8 M €
Volumen 24h314,3 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$3.6k99.2%POLYMARKETYeslibratus1hace 27 d
POLYMARKETYeslibratus1hace 27 d$1.0k9.9%POLYMARKETNoparacelshace 28 d
POLYMARKETNoparacelshace 28 d$3.2k99.0%POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42hace 28 d
POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f42hace 28 d$2.1k78.4%POLYMARKETNoHornyBibihace 28 d
POLYMARKETNoHornyBibihace 28 d$1.1k78.9%POLYMARKETYesGGWPGLhace 28 d
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If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.