KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 87%
Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
2,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
8.0% / 12.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
21 jul 26, 19:14 UTC3 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Chuck Edwards win the North Carolina 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Chuck EdwardsThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Chuck Edwards must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms??
- Está previsto que Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.