KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2034 32%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
586,8 €
Baja liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
14 abr 26, 21:00 UTC1 ene 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
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If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:National Popular Vote Inc
- For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law.
- The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted.
- Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted.
- States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total.
- If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 2028, that state's electoral votes are not counted.
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes??
- Kalshi cotiza Before 2034 al 32% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes??
- Está previsto que Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.