KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 14 sept 2026, 11:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaCompra / Venta
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
11 sept 26, 23:30 UTC14 oct 26, 12:25 UTC
Tendencias
100%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
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KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - September 2026
PolymarketReglas
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 128,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Está previsto que Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? se resuelva el 14 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.