Probabilidad implícita actual
Above -0.1% 91%+4.0%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
4,7 mil €
Liquidez
163,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
86.0% / 91.0%
Spread
5.8%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
20 feb 26, 15:0012 ago 26, 12:25
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above -0.1%91%
Operaciones grandes
$1.5k73.0%
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteayer
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteayer$1.9k93.0%KALSHIAbove 0.2% — Noanteayer
KALSHIAbove 0.2% — Noanteayer$1.5k73.0%KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteayer
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteayer$1.3k65.0%KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yeshace 8 d
KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yeshace 8 d$1.8k92.0%KALSHIAbove 0.3% — Nohace 10 d
KALSHIAbove 0.3% — Nohace 10 d$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yeshace 10 d
KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yeshace 10 d$2.0k98.0%KALSHIAbove 0.5% — Nohace 10 d
KALSHIAbove 0.5% — Nohace 10 d$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove 0.4% — Nohace 11 d
KALSHIAbove 0.4% — Nohace 11 dTendencia de volumen
$5.4k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
CPI in September
73,8 €Above 0.3%: 43%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in August
46,6 €Above 0.2%: 44%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in November
0 €Above -0.1%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
70,3 €Sí: 52%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
26,4 €Sí: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many jobs added in July?
0 €50k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.4% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (August 12, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.