Probabilidad implícita actual
Ohio 12%Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
103,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
24 sept 25, 14:003 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Ohio12%
Referencia CoinRithmTexas14%· 2 plataformas· ±3 pts
New MexicoAlaskaGeorgia
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Polymarket
Closest Senate Race?
23.0%3m
+13.5%30%
+8.5%26%
+2.9%24%
+13 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total6,5 mil €
Volumen 24h4,8 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2.2k2 jul7d de datos8 jul
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If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.