KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Alibaba 66%-7.0ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
31 ago 26, 17:3030 sept 26, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abiertos
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
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- No-0.2pt95%
- Yes+0.2pt5%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 25,8 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 32°C+23.5pt48.1%
- 33°C+4.0pt37.7%
- 31°C-2.0pt10.4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi cotiza Alibaba al 66% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Está previsto que Top Chinese AI Company this month se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.