KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 99%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
23,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 minutos
15 may 26, 21:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal ReserveEuropean Central BankBank of EnglandBank of JapanBank of CanadaReserve Bank of AustraliaReserve Bank of New ZealandNorges BankRiksbankSwiss National Bank
- A rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting.
- Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.
- The market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.
- If the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.
- If the the named outcome raising the Bank Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 59,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,2 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 247,7 mil €
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,8 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 7,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 43,9 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 resultados más
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Kalshi cotiza Reserve Bank of New Zealand al 99% a fecha de 31 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Está previsto que Which central banks will hike before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.