KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 30%+4.0ptLíder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
54,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
22 may 26, 18:0020 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Pete Hegseth14%
Comparar plataformas· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 30% | 0pt | 2,1 mil € | 54,4 mil € | hace 12 minutos | |
 Polymarket80% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 34% | +4pt | 43,2 € | 104,2 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
0.6 pts5m
+0.3pt47%
-0.5pt34%
+4.8pt13%
+26 resultados más
65 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total23,6 mil €
Volumen 24h43,2 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2.4k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.