KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoLiquidado por el proveedor, mercado por mercado
Resuelto: 31 oct 2026, 17:51
Este evento no tiene un único ganador. El proveedor liquidó cada mercado por separado; cada mercado muestra su propio resultado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 13:47 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Magnitude of at least 5.21%
Magnitude of at least 5.41%
Magnitude of at least 5.816%
Magnitude of at least 6.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.212%
Magnitude of at least 5.61%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 7.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.63%
Magnitude of at least 6.83%
Magnitude of at least 7.0Perdida
Magnitude of at least 6.4Perdida
Magnitude of at least 5.2Perdida
Magnitude of at least 5.4Perdida
Magnitude of at least 5.8Perdida
Magnitude of at least 6.0Perdida
Magnitude of at least 6.2Perdida
Magnitude of at least 5.6Perdida
Magnitude of at least 6.6Perdida
Magnitude of at least 6.8Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.