Probabilidad implícita actual
CDU 27%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
16.0% / 26.0%
Spread
62.5%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
17 may 26, 14:0020 sept 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
CDU27%
Comparar plataformas· CDU
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Polymarket
Berlin State Election Winner
2.0%1m
-0.5%33%
27%
+2.0%23%
+21 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total2,7 M €
Volumen 24h9,6 mil €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Smarkets
Berlin State Election Winner
Cerrados
32.8%
25.6%
17.9%
+2 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0,9 €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETSReglas
If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.4k81.9%POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencehace 10 d
POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencehace 10 dTendencia de volumen
$63 jul18d de datos26 jul
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If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.