How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElección12m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
38 or more 99%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3,4 €
Liquidez
5,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
9 jul 26, 18:50 UTC6 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi cotiza 38 or more al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Está previsto que How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? se resuelva el 6 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.