KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Above 4.96% (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 10:53 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Above 4.96%95%
Above 4.95%99%
Above 5.01%1%
Above 5.02%1%
Above 4.98%98%
Above 4.92%0%
Above 4.93%0%
Above 4.94%0%
Above 4.97%0%
Above 4.99%0%
Above 5.00%0%
Above 5.03%0%
Above 5.04%0%
Above 5.05%0%
Above 5.06%0%
Above 4.96%Ganada
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
Above 4.95%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
Above 4.98%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 92% ·
Above 5.01%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Above 5.02%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Above 4.92%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 4.93%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 4.94%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 4.97%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 4.99%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 5.00%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 5.03%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 5.04%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 5.05%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Above 5.06%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
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Manifold MarketsActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Pyth - 10Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 4.96%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.95%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.98%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.01%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.02%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.92%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.93%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.94%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.97%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.99%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.00%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.03%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.04%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.05%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.06%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.06% at Oct 27, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.