GeminiDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 27 jul 2026, 7:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actualSí 42%
Calidad del mercado
17 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
14.0% / 70.0%
Spread
56.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 31 minutos
5 mar 26, 16:371 ene 27, 4:59
42%
El trading simulado no está disponible para este mercado.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general94% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 10% | 0pt | 3,2 mil € | 106,9 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 42% | +32pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 31 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Tesla Optimus released this year?
2.0 pts5m
90%
-2.0pt10%
80 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total296,9 mil €
Volumen 24h3,2 mil €
KALSHIReglas
Tesla Optimus released this year?
- If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from [Tesla](https://www.tesla.com/blog).
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fb23f2b4792a847e3bfec991659d45b22?alt=media&token=ecada097-8f14-4780-87c1-2cdbc54d648f&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Tesla Optimus released this year?
- If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from [Tesla](https://www.tesla.com/blog).
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fb23f2b4792a847e3bfec991659d45b22?alt=media&token=ecada097-8f14-4780-87c1-2cdbc54d648f&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).