Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
TecnologíaOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 93.9%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado16 ene 24, 5:02 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus
- Resolution Criteria: The market resolves "Yes" if Tesla’s Optimus Gen-2 robot is available for general sale by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by an official Tesla announcement or product launch.
- If the robot is not available by this date, the market resolves "No."
- Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2026, at 23:59 PST.
- Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For this market to resolve Yes, the Optimus Gen-2 must be in stock and actively shipping to customers.
- A pre-order phase alone does not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus