Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 72%
Sí 72%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
30,5 €
Liquidez
946,4 €
Baja liquidezTraders
9
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Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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PolymarketReglas
This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.
- If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations.
