Will Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
PolíticaOne-Off2m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 90%
Sí 90%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
737,7 €
Baja liquidezTraders
7
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be Prime Minister of Canada after Mark Carney?
Manifold MarketsMark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
Polymarketmark carney removed by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether Mark Carney will remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Canadian government announcements confirming the prime ministership.
- If Mark Carney officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold office before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Canadian or international news organizations.