PolymarketCheck availabilityCurrent implied probabilityPlayer A 50%Leader of 41 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$308.7K
Liquidity
$1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 1.1%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.2%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 8:30 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Player A50%
Also available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Ball (MVP)
18d
+3.4%13%
-1.1%9%
-0.7%6.2%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$58
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
19d
37%
50%
3.2%
+7 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$982.1
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Kalshi
Golden Ball Winner
22.0%29d
+22.0%40%
+3.0%33%
+9.0%12%
+62 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$22.4K
24h Vol$824.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.