PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kylian Mbappe (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Kylian Mbappe 100%+6.5ptLeader of 80 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-34.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 5:09 PMJul 20, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Cristiano Ronaldo0%
Depay Memphis1%
Edin Džeko0%
Luis Diaz1%
Ousmane Dembele1%
Vinicius Junior5%
Dani Olmo0%
Lamine Yamal4%
Julian Alvarez3%
Rafael Leao1%
Federico Valverde0%
Deniz Undav2%
Ferran Torres3%
Lionel Messi0%
Noah Okafor0%
Raphinha1%
Kai Havertz6%
Mikel Oyarzabal1%
Harry Kane5%
Kylian Mbappe43%
Cody Gakpo0%
Erling Haaland11%
Jude Bellingham4%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Kylian Mbappe
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $20.5M | $32.6M | 7 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $2.1M | $0 | 6 days ago | |
 Rothera80% match · linked | Low | 100% | — | $369.1K | $0 | 5 days ago | Open → |
 Limitless88% match · linked | Low | 100% | — | $2.6K | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
| Limitless80% match · verified | Low | 93% | — | $10 | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
 Futuur75% match · auto | Low | 89% | — | $226.5 | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets95% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Boot (top scorer)
Closed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (99.3%)
+8.7pt99.3%
-8.2pt0.2%
-0.2pt0.2%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast224 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Kalshi
Golden Boot Winner
73.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (99%)
+73.0pt99%
-73.0pt1%
1%
+51 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$43M
24h Vol$20.5M
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Closed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (99.7%)
86%
4.4%
2.5%
+9 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$146.5K
24h Vol$2.6K
LIMITLESSAlso available on Limitless
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Closed
92.5%
34.1%
4.6%
+7 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$10
LIMITLESSAlso available on Rothera
World Cup 2026: Top Goal Scorer
Closed
Resolved
Mbappe 2 (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+7 more outcomes
33 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$369.1K
24h Vol$369.1K
ROTHERAAlso available on Futuur
Winner of the Golden Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (tournament's top scorer)
Closed
71.8%
14.5%
7.3%
+5 more outcomes
5 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.5K
24h Vol$226.5
FUTUURRules
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k99.0%KALSHILionel Messi — No8d ago
KALSHILionel Messi — No8d ago$1.3k99.0%KALSHILionel Messi — No8d ago
KALSHILionel Messi — No8d ago$3.0k97.6%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Noburnburn8d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Noburnburn8d ago$40.0k97.4%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nowan1238d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nowan1238d ago$1.0k96.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$1.2k93.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$2.3k92.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$8.3k92.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d agoVolume trend
$2.1MJul 219d of dataJul 20
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This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.